特长公路隧道内的横通道间距和车行间距研究

隧道火灾,尤其是长大公路、铁路隧道火灾,往往是灾难性的。因此,基于性能化防火设计原理,对雪峰山特长公路隧道的横通道间距和车行间距进行了研究。对中等规模20 MW的火灾,按照规范建议的3 m/s的风速进行通风的情况下,先用CFD软件模拟计算火灾危险时间Tfire,然后由疏散模型中的经验公式计算人员疏散时间Tevac,比较分析不同横通道间距下人员疏散的安全性;同时为了避免隧道内车辆间的引燃,利用辐射换热原理,对车辆间的火灾蔓延性进行了分析。模拟结果为:最佳横通道间距约为290 m,最小引燃间距为6 m。考虑到建设成本的问题,建议雪峰山隧道的横通道间距改为300 m;同时,考虑到后继车辆的刹车及不同的行车速度等因素,建议特长隧道内车距最好要大于110 m;     

华北地区跨断层形变中短期异常特征研究

较系统处理了华北地区跨断层形变资料 ,对 1975年以来华北地区发生的部分强震、中强震震前出现的跨断层形变异常特征进行了分析 ,着重研究了其中短期预报指标及区域特征。跨断层形变主要异常特征为 :(1)异常出现具有同步或准同步性 ;(2 )异常形态各异 ;有趋势异常、年畸变异常、突变异常 ;(3)异常相对变化幅度以水平变化量为大 ;(4 )异常出现时间、幅度与震中距有一定关系 ;(5)强震前异常多出现在震前半年以上 ;(6 )异常初期地面倾斜背向震中 ,地面倾向震中即预示着进入短临阶段。同时对中短期预报指标做了初步归纳。     

环境激素研究进展探讨

环境激素是一种外源性物质,能干扰生物体正常的内分泌,主要对生物体的生理过程产生很大的影响。目前已知的环境激素大概有70种左右,已经成为世界重大环境问题之一。对环境激素的概念、种类、来源、影响、作用方式以及研究现状等进行了初步的介绍。     

Performances of biological aerated filter employing hollow fiber membrane segments of surface-improved poly （sulfone） as biofilm carriers

Using the surface of poly （sulfone） hollow fiber membrane segments as grafted layer, the hydrophilic acrylamide chain was grafted on by UV-photoinduced grafting polymerization. The gained improvement of surface wettability for the modified membrane was tested by measuring the contact-angle as well as FTIR spectra. Then correlation between the hydrophilic ability of support material and the biofilm adherence ability was demonstrated by comparing the pollutant removal rates from urban wastewater via two identical lab-scale up-flow biological aerated filters, one employed the surface wettability modified poly （sulfone） hollow fiber membrane segment as biofilm carder and the other employed unmodified membrane segment as biofilm carder. The experimental results showed that under the conditions of influent flux 5 L/h, hydraulic retention time 9 h and gas to liquid ratio （G/L） 10： 1, the removal rates of chemical oxygen demand （COD） and ammonium nitrogen （NH4^＋-N） for the modified packing filter and the unmodified packing filter was averaged at 83.64% and 96.25%, respectively, with the former filter being 5%-20% more than the latter. The effluent concentration of COD, NH4^＋-N and turbidity for the modified packing filter was 25.25 mg/L, 2 mg/L and 8 NTU, respectively. Moreover, the ammonium nitrogen removal performance of the filter packing the modified PSF was compared with the other bioreactor packing of an efficient floating medium. The biomass test indicated that the modified membrane matrixes provided better specific adhesion （3310-5653 mg TSS/L support）, which gave a mean of 1000 mg TSS/L more than the unmodified membrane did. In addition, the phenomenon of simultaneous denitrification on the inner surface of the support and nitrification on the outer surface was found in this work.     

新式十字轴径向挤压模具

此文提出了一种新式的十字轴径向挤压模具,此模具动作平稳可靠,生产率高,模具寿命较长,稍加改进后,此模具可适用于各种枝状件径向冷挤压或热锻.     

Statistics: an essential technology in environmental research and management

Statistical methods as developed and used in decision making and scientific research are of recent origin. The logical foundations of statistics are still under discussion and some care is needed in applying the existing methodology and interpreting results. Some pitfalls in statistical data analysis are discussed and the importance of cross examination of data (or exploratory data analysis) before using specific statistical techniques are emphasized. Comments are made on the treatment of outliers, choice of stochastic models, use of multivariate techniques and the choice of software (expert systems) in statistical analysis. The need for developing new methodology with particular relevance to environmental research and policy is stressed.Dr Rao is Eberly Professor of Statistics and Director of the Penn State Center for Multivariate Analysis. He has received PhD and ScD degrees from Cambridge University, and has been awarded numerous honorary doctorates from universities around the world. He is a Fellow of Royal Society, UK; Fellow of Indian National Science Academy; Foreign Honorary Member of American Academy of Arts and Science; Life Fellow of King's College, Cambridge; and Founder Fellow of the Third World Academy of Sciences. He is Honorary Fellow and President of International Statistical Institute, Biometric Society and elected Fellow of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics. He has made outstanding contributions to virtually all important topics of theoretical and applied statistics, and many results bear his name. He has been Editor of Sankhya and theJournal of Multivariate Analysis, and serves on international advisory boards of several professional journals, includingEnvironmetrics and theJournal of Environmental Statistics. This paper is based on the keynote address to the Seventh Annual Conference on Statistics of the United States Environmental Protection Agency.     

Growth, photosynthesis and antioxidant responses of two microalgal species, Chlorella vulgaris and Selenastrum capricornutum, to nonylphenol stress

The effect of nonylphenol (NP) on growth, photochemistry and biochemistry of two green microalgae, Chlorella vulgaris and Selenanstrum capricornutum, and their ability to degrade NP were compared. The 96 h EC₅₀ of C. vulgaris and S. capricornutum were greater than 4.0 and 1.0 mg L⁻¹ NP, respectively, suggesting that the former species was more tolerant to NP. Both microalgae acclimated to NP stress through down-regulating their photosynthetic activities, including antenna size (chlorophyll a content), maximal photochemistry (Fv/Fm) and the light absorbed by PSII (ABS/CS₀), but the dissipation of energy from reaction centres (DI₀/RC) increased with the increase of NP concentrations. In C. vulgaris, the changes of these parameters were more significant than in S. capricornutum and recovered completely after a 96 h exposure. The antioxidant responses, such as GSH content, CAT and POD activities in C. vulgaris increased with the increase of NP concentrations after a 24 h exposure, but these changes disappeared with exposure time and recovered to the control levels after 96 h. In S. capricornutum, although GSH content, CAT and POD activities also increased when exposed to low- to moderate-NP concentrations, these values were significantly reduced at a high concentration (4 mg L⁻¹) even after a 96 h exposure, indicating its antioxidant responses were significantly delayed. It is clear that the more NP-tolerant species, C. vulgaris, acclimated better with a faster recovery of its photosynthetic activity from the NP-induced damage, and exhibited more efficient and rapid responses to NP-induced oxidative stress. C. vulgaris also had a higher NP degradation ability than S. capricornutum.     

典型区土壤重金属空间插值方法与污染评价

选择最优的空间插值方法对土壤重金属空间分布特征的反映和污染评价具有重要的意义.以湖北省恩施市典型区表层土壤重金属As和Cd为例,选取常用的反距离权重法(IDW)、径向基函数法(RBF)、局部多项式法(LPI)和普通克里格法(OK)进行空间插值,对比分析了不同插值方法的插值精度及结果差异.同时采用地累积指数和指示克里格法(IK)评价了土壤重金属污染状况.结果表明,不同插值方法对于同一种元素的预测误差相差较小,但对土壤重金属含量的空间分布特征存在明显差异,其中LPI法表现出明显的平滑效应,OK法次之,而IDW法和RBF法极大地保留了元素含量的极值信息,插值结果较详尽.为准确了解局部高背景区土壤重金属的空间分布状况,应优选IDW法或RBF法进行插值.以湖北省深层土壤重金属含量算术均值作为背景值,地累积指数污染评价结果显示:As和Cd的超标样点分别占5.5%和99.0%,研究区Cd污染程度较高.IK法污染评价显示:Cd中度-强污染以上的高概率污染区域主要位于研究区的中部,应重视土壤Cd污染分布,并对其有效治理与修复.     

一体式膜-生物反应器的水动力学特性

以研究一体式膜 -生物反应器的水动力学特性为目的 ,通过试验测定了反应器中膜间液体错流流速的分布和大小 ,建立了描述错流流速的计算模型 ,并考察了曝气量和反应器结构对错流流速的影响 .曝气量为 40 m³/h时 ,膜组件中部的错流流速为0.36～ 0.4³m/s,比膜组件 2边的流速约大 6.2%～ 21%.错流流速实测值与模型计算值吻合良好 .曝气量为 20～50 m³/h时 ,错流流速随曝气量的升高而增大 ,当曝气量大于 50 m³/h后错流流速逐渐趋向平稳 ;反应器高度越高 ,上升流通道越窄、下降流道和底部流道越宽 ,在同样曝气量条件下 ,可获得越大的错流流速 .     

改进的GA-BP神经网络在矿井突水水源判别中的应用

矿井突水水源的判别是制定防治水措施的重要环节。通过对某矿含水层水化学特 性的相关性分析,将PCA算法、K折交叉验证算法嵌入GA-BP神经网络,提出了一种新的 GA-BP神经网络,将其应用于实例分析中,并与传统的方法进行比较。结果表明:针对 水化学特性相近的含水层,PCA算法能够排除样本中的冗余信息,降低样本指标维度, 简化BP神经网络结构;K折交叉验证算法能够提高GA算法对BP神经网络权值的寻优质量 ,使GA算法的进化方向更具合理性;二者的引入大大优化了传统GA-BP神经网络性能, 其判别精度更高、适用性更强、结果更可靠,在矿井突水水源判别方面具有很好的应用 前景。